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Reflecting on the inlet formations post-Hurricane Michael versus April 2017.

From the USGS: Storm surge and waves completely eroded and breached a low, narrow spot on Cape San Blas, creating two new inlets and severing the only road access to T.H. Stone Memorial St. Joseph Peninsula State Park. The predicted probability of inundation here was only 26 percent, but the scale of the predictions is for 1 kilometer sections of coast, and the model likely did not resolve the low, narrow area that breached.